Compute Availability Factor (CAF): A Framework for Measuring the Physical Deliverability of Artificial Intelligence Compute: From nominal accelerator capacity to effective and infrastructure-available compute

Q: What is the Compute Availability Factor (CAF)?

The Compute Availability Factor (CAF) is an empirical measurement framework developed by Richie Adomako at Serpens Inc. (ResearchGate Publication ID 414150400) that quantifies the fraction of hardware-effective AI compute that can actually be delivered in the physical world under real electrical (E), thermal (T), network (N), and operational (O) infrastructure constraints: CAF(t) = E(t) × T(t) × N(t) × O(t).

Q: What is the relationship between the CAF website, CAF Watcher, and the CAF Research Paper?

CAF is the formal mathematical methodology and research specification ('Compute Availability Factor: A Framework for Measuring the Physical Deliverability of Artificial Intelligence Compute', Adomako, 2026) rooted in the thesis 'When the Building Becomes the Computer'. This site hosts both the formal specification and CAF Watcher—the operational observability platform, 3D Spatial Desktop OS, Cluster Physics Simulator, and Workload Constraint Investigator built on that methodology.

Q: How does CAF calculate Physically Deliverable Compute and the Deliverability Coverage Ratio (DCR)?

CAF first converts Nominal Compute (C_N, raw installed accelerators) into Hardware-Effective Compute (C_E = C_N × U_H). It then multiplies by CAF = E × T × N × O to derive Physically Deliverable Compute (C_D = C_N × U_H × CAF). The Deliverability Coverage Ratio (DCR = C_D / C_R) compares verified deliverable compute against roadmap required compute (C_R) using continuous interval bounds [Lower, Upper].

Q: How does CAF handle missing or unverified public infrastructure data?

CAF enforces the epistemic axiom that 'Unknown does not equal Unavailable'. Missing public evidence is never treated as zero capacity; instead, it is classified as UNKNOWN, widens the [Lower, Upper] availability interval, and reduces the separate Evidence Confidence score (Q).

Adomako, Richie

↳ CAF WATCHER // CONTINUOUS PHYSICAL AUDIT LEDGER

ByteDance (Doubao & Seed) Grade A-

Asia's highest-volume consumer AI inference engine: mega-clusters in Western China and high-throughput serving · Category: Asian AI Frontier

Executive Physical Feasibility & Delivery Audit

Institutional Baseline: Evaluated under the Compute Availability Factor (CAF v1.0) specification by Richie Adomako (Serpens Inc., ResearchGate ID 414150400). CAF evaluates stated accelerator capabilities against empirical physical reality (interconnection queues, electrical substations, liquid cooling heat transfer, and optical network fabrics). Missing public evidence is classified as unknown—it is never treated as zero capacity.

CAF INTERVAL
[0.43 – 0.73]
DELIVERY GAP SCORE
36 pts
OPERATING POWER
1.21 GW
vs 0.58 GW announced
EVIDENCE CONFIDENCE
MEDIUM (65%)

Physical Coupling Pillars (E, T, N, O)

Power & Grid Substrate (E = [object Object]): 86/100. Secured priority power allocations in Ningxia and Inner Mongolia under the "East Data, West Computing" project at electricity rates under $0.035/kWh.
Thermal Dissipation & CDU Limits (T = [object Object]): 84/100. Inner Mongolia and Ningxia boast low average annual ambient temperatures (5°C to 8°C), enabling free-air economizers for over 280 days per year.
Cluster Topology & Optical Fabric (N = [object Object]): 86/100. Engineered specialized flat spine-and-leaf networks supporting tens of thousands of heterogeneous GPUs with RoCEv2 RDMA and automated congestion notification.
Silicon & Operational Availability (O = [object Object]): 72/100. Navigating US chip export controls by stockpiling H800/A800 silicon while co-designing custom domestic ASICs with TSMC (within legal bounds) and domestic packaging.